Tuesday, January 4, 2022

Fall Stats

  • 2024 will be the 28th time suppliants have sought the honor of being the oracle. The first oracle was chosen in 1997.
  • Not all years have been blessed with oracles:
    • In five years (1999, 2004, 2008, 2016, and 2021), the tree has chosen demioracles (only half the leaves fell on their days).
    • Another year (2002), the closest we could come was an apprentice oracle (a suppliant who was close).
    • And four fateful years (2006, 2013, 2017, and 2019), there was no oracle at all. And we wept bitter tears.
  • There have been 18 oracles, 8 demioracles, and 2 apprentice oracles.
  • One oracle (Norm Darais, in 2007) was given the special honor of being the Golden Oracle (because the tree waited so long to drop its leaves that they had actually turned yellow).
  • Niki Tengan has surpassed all others in her clairvoyant powers. She has been the oracle three times (2010, 2012, 2020).
  • The average date of the fall is Nov. 15.
  • Until 2019 the fall had never occurred in October.
  • The earliest fall has been Oct. 28 (2019); the latest has been Nov. 27 (2023).
  • Nov. 24 is the most common day for the fall; the tree has selected that date four times. Nov. 15 and Nov. 22 have been selected three times each.

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